As hurricane Erick approaches there is a hurricane warning for all of the Costalegre. Very possible high winds and rain estimates from 3-5 inches with up to 8 inches possible in places.
The intensity forecast remains a challenge since Erick is not that far offshore of Mexico. The hurricane could intensify a little more today while it remains over warm waters without much shear. The environment will gradually become less conducive tomorrow due to Erick moving across cooler waters and possibly interacting with land. A more rapid weakening should commence after the weekend with much colder waters in the path of Erick along with drier more stable air. The NHC forecast continues the trend of the previous one...and is close to the intensity consensus.
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